Saturday, November 19, 2022

United States: COVID-19 weekly death rate by vaccination status, 50+

Re: COVID Vaccine and disease transmission

Andy Saffle
There is also this beautiful Gem floating out there... And no we're not Anti vaccine... We just actually follow evidence and Science

Andy Saffle As presented, I'm not sure that this is actual science. He expresses an opinion that these deaths are caused by the vaccine, but we would need a study to show that the vaccine causes excess deaths. I think that this kind of study has been done and I would have to look for it. If you look at the study that he quotes, it is showing deaths of 2 per million injections. First, we would have to show that this is actually caused by the vaccine and not just random noise. Meanwhile, the same study claims that the cardiac risk is much higher with the actual disease. In the United States, we have had a hundred million cases with 1.1 million deaths, which is a far greater risk than the vaccine. Roughly one out of every 300 people has died from the disease, including a cousin of mine. Given a choice between 2 out of a million or a 1% death rate that is a pretty obvious choice.

John Coffey Fact checks prove the point to be true EVERY TIME.. 100% of the time.. every Fact check that had been done Since 2015 has been proven to be true at some point.. I can give hundreds of examples of this..
Please keep citing fact checkers..

On some fact-checking sites, I agree that there is an extreme bias.
Confirmation bias is a very strong thing. People almost always believe things that match their preconceived notions.
Anecdotal evidence is not science. We need peer-reviewed studies that show excess deaths associated with the vaccine. I have seen something like this before, and I will try to find it. Even if there were excess deaths, which by all accounts is extremely low, we would have to balance that with the risk from the disease.

Andy Saffle
Oh don't worry, there's more <includes a picture of an article>

Here is the link to the article, which doesn't actually prove anything:

Brandolini's law, also known as the "bullshit asymmetry principle," holds that "the amount of energy needed to refute bullshit is an order of magnitude bigger than what's needed to produce it." This truism highlights that while the battle against misinformation more generally must be fought "face to face," the larger war against belief in misinformation won't be won without prevention. Once people are set in their ways, beliefs are notoriously hard to change.

John Coffey
The adverse effects of the COVID-19 vaccines have been well documented, and serious side effects are rare. The most common adverse event is soreness at the injection site, which for me seemed worse than usual.
You have a choice between a vaccine with rare serious adverse effects and a disease that has killed 1.1% of the people who got it. It is your body and your choice, and you may think that you are young and healthy and won't die from the disease, and you probably won't, but I have read about several cases of people in their 20s who have died.
One study found that the average brain shrinkage from a COVID-19 infection was 2%. Another study showed that COVID adversely affects every organ in the body. A large percentage of people have had adverse symptoms for up to a year.
This isn't just the seasonal flu. One of my friends lost his mother recently. I lost my cousin.
If a medicine had a 2 out of a million chance of killing you, that doesn't mean that you shouldn't take the medicine. Chemo has worse odds, and so does driving. It depends upon the risk of not taking the medicine.

Wednesday, November 16, 2022

COVID Vaccine and disease transmission

Around October 11nth, Pfizer executive Janine Small testified to the EU parliament that Pfizer did not test the vaccine for preventing transmission of Covid prior to it being made available to the public.  This was not actually a requirement for the Emergency Use Authorization.   They only had to show that it was safe and that it prevented people from getting the disease.  She explained that they did not have time to test for how the vaccine would affect transmissibility.  Additional studies would eventually come out showing that the vaccine reduced the transmission of the disease. (

The anti-vaxers and the conspiracy theorists took this "admission" and ran with it.  People I listen to on a regular basis started claiming that Pfizer admitted that the vaccine does not prevent transmission of the disease and that the government officials lied to us about it.   Some even claimed that the vaccine doesn't work, or that it was never tested.

However, none of these statements logically follow from the testimony of Janine Small.  The initial vaccine was 95% effective against the wild-type SARS-CoV-2.  If you reduce the infection rate then it is very likely that you also would reduce transmission of the disease.  It is possible for someone who is asymptomatic to transmit the disease, but would you rather hang out with someone who has full-blown COVID, or someone who is asymptomatic and has been vaccinated?

These kinds of errors in logic also have led to claims that the vaccine didn't work against the Omicron variation or that masks don't work.  A May 2022 study published in the New England Journal of Medicine showed that the booster shot was 49% effective against the Omicron variant.  For me, that was better than nothing, and the new bivalent booster is more effective. (  

A study published in the Yale Medical Library Journal July 28, 2022 found that those wearing masks only had a 7% infection rate while those who didn't wear masks had a 52% infection rate.

Despite actual evidence suggesting otherwise, those who criticize the vaccines or masks often claim that they are following the science.

Best wishes,

John Coffey

Saturday, November 5, 2022

This might be my hottest take

There is an increasingly common disorder where people bitten by ticks become allergic to red meat, if not all meat.  This happened to my uncle who was an avid hunter.

I would also kill all the mosquitos. They kill more people than any other animal.