I'm not a doctor, so I am not giving medical advice. This needs more research.
Saturday, May 13, 2023
Friday, May 12, 2023
Saturday, May 6, 2023
Thursday, May 4, 2023
"76% of the people in Hong Kong who died of COVID were vaccinated"
There are problems with this idea. People in Hong Kong don't get the same vaccine as Americans. Most get the ineffective Chinese vaccine. You would have to compare the death rates with other people in the world.
The overall mortality rate in the United States among the unvaccinated has varied from 2 to 10 times as much.
How the ‘Unvaccinated’ Got It Right
https://www.theepochtimes.com/health/how-the-unvaccinated-got-it-right_5238208.html?utm_campaign=socialshare_email
I am disturbed by how every commentator on the political right has turned anti-COVID-vaccine to one degree or enough. While most are against the vaccine, some think it should only be given to the most vulnerable population because of reported vaccine risk.
The article cherry-picks its data and makes a number of false claims. It hits every anti-vaccine point that has come up over the last three years and relies on emotional language to make its points.
1. It is not true that the vaccinated die at a higher rate than the unvaccinated. The data shows so much the opposite that it takes extreme mental gymnastics to come to this conclusion.
The article points to data from the vaccine trial. The problem with this is that the vaccine trial was given to a wide range of people, including nursing home patients who might have died anyway, so any discussion of the death rate from the initial trial is not proof of anything. https://www.oregonlive.com/coronavirus/2021/08/no-more-vaccinated-people-didnt-die-from-covid-in-pfizers-vaccine-trial.html
There has been a ton of research after the initial trial. I have read a number of papers that support the safety and efficacy of the vaccines.
I saw one study that indicated that 1 out of a million people might die from the vaccine, usually people with comorbidities. This is roughly the same risk of death every time you get in a car. However, the disease has killed 1 out of 92 infected people in the United States, usually people with comorbidities. Young healthy people have also died from COVID. Nobody claims that the vaccine is perfectly safe, or effective, but the relative risk is much lower. One out of every 285 Americans has died from COVID. I lost a cousin to COVID.
The efficacy of the vaccine has changed as the disease has evolved. Because of this, many people claim that the government lied to us about the efficacy of the vaccine. Although the vaccine is now less effective at preventing the disease, the data shows that it is still 97% effective at preventing hospitalization and death.
2. It is not true that the vaccine is untested.
3. The vaccine was not tested for stopping the spread of the virus.
Although initially true, there wasn't time before the Emergency Use Authorization to determine whether the vaccine stopped the spread of the virus. Most commentators take this to mean that it doesn't. However, I have read more recent scientific studies that show that vaccinated people are much less likely to spread the disease.
If a member of your family has COVID, wouldn't you prefer that they be vaccinated? According to at least one study, the vaccinated are less likely to spread the disease to a family member.
4. The article claims that the vaccine mRNA might not be eliminated inside the body, without offering any proof, further making the unsupported claim that this could harm our health.
It is a well-known medical fact that mRNA is destroyed in less than a second after it is used. Your body is making and disposing of mRNA every microsecond.
Even if some of the vaccine mRNA stays around, there is no vehicle for the mRNA to enter other cells. The vaccine needs a lipid delivery mechanism to work. Once the mRNA enters the cell, it loses this mechanism.
5. The article claims that there are no long-term vaccine risk studies.
This is most likely true, although it depends upon what you mean by long-term. There have been more studies on the COVID disease and vaccination than any other disease.
"no long-term side effects have been detected. "
https://portal.ct.gov/vaccine-portal/Vaccine-Knowledge-Base/Articles/Long-Term-Effects?language=en_US
However, the long-term effects of the COVID disease have been severe, with about 11% of the infected getting "long covid". This can be life-threatening or completely debilitating.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dpjGLLbWZJ0
6. The article claims that the government violated people's civil liberties and engaged in censorship, and this is a good reason to not get vaccinated.
The first part of this statement is true, but it would be like saying that because you live in communist China you should not get vaccinated. The efficacy and safety of the vaccine is a completely different issue from the oppressive nature of governments.
I am disturbed by how every commentator on the political right has turned anti-COVID-vaccine to one degree or enough. While most are against the vaccine, some think it should only be given to the most vulnerable population because of reported vaccine risk.
The article cherry-picks its data and makes a number of false claims. It hits every anti-vaccine point that has come up over the last three years and relies on emotional language to make its points.
1. It is not true that the vaccinated die at a higher rate than the unvaccinated. The data shows so much the opposite that it takes extreme mental gymnastics to come to this conclusion.
The article points to data from the vaccine trial. The problem with this is that the vaccine trial was given to a wide range of people, including nursing home patients who might have died anyway, so any discussion of the death rate from the initial trial is not proof of anything. https://www.oregonlive.com/coronavirus/2021/08/no-more-vaccinated-people-didnt-die-from-covid-in-pfizers-vaccine-trial.html
There has been a ton of research after the initial trial. I have read a number of papers that support the safety and efficacy of the vaccines.
I saw one study that indicated that 1 out of a million people might die from the vaccine, usually people with comorbidities. This is roughly the same risk of death every time you get in a car. However, the disease has killed 1 out of 92 infected people in the United States, usually people with comorbidities. Young healthy people have also died from COVID. Nobody claims that the vaccine is perfectly safe, or effective, but the relative risk is much lower. One out of every 285 Americans has died from COVID. I lost a cousin to COVID.
The efficacy of the vaccine has changed as the disease has evolved. Because of this, many people claim that the government lied to us about the efficacy of the vaccine. Although the vaccine is now less effective at preventing the disease, the data shows that it is still 97% effective at preventing hospitalization and death.
2. It is not true that the vaccine is untested.
3. The vaccine was not tested for stopping the spread of the virus.
Although initially true, there wasn't time before the Emergency Use Authorization to determine whether the vaccine stopped the spread of the virus. Most commentators take this to mean that it doesn't. However, I have read more recent scientific studies that show that vaccinated people are much less likely to spread the disease.
If a member of your family has COVID, wouldn't you prefer that they be vaccinated? According to at least one study, the vaccinated are less likely to spread the disease to a family member.
4. The article claims that the vaccine mRNA might not be eliminated inside the body, without offering any proof, further making the unsupported claim that this could harm our health.
It is a well-known medical fact that mRNA is destroyed in less than a second after it is used. Your body is making and disposing of mRNA every microsecond.
Even if some of the vaccine mRNA stays around, there is no vehicle for the mRNA to enter other cells. The vaccine needs a lipid delivery mechanism to work. Once the mRNA enters the cell, it loses this mechanism.
5. The article claims that there are no long-term vaccine risk studies.
This is most likely true, although it depends upon what you mean by long-term. There have been more studies on the COVID disease and vaccination than any other disease.
"no long-term side effects have been detected. "
https://portal.ct.gov/vaccine-portal/Vaccine-Knowledge-Base/Articles/Long-Term-Effects?language=en_US
However, the long-term effects of the COVID disease have been severe, with about 11% of the infected getting "long covid". This can be life-threatening or completely debilitating.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dpjGLLbWZJ0
6. The article claims that the government violated people's civil liberties and engaged in censorship, and this is a good reason to not get vaccinated.
The first part of this statement is true, but it would be like saying that because you live in communist China you should not get vaccinated. The efficacy and safety of the vaccine is a completely different issue from the oppressive nature of governments.
Saturday, April 22, 2023
Friday, April 21, 2023
Thursday, April 20, 2023
Tuesday, April 18, 2023
Sunday, April 16, 2023
Wednesday, April 12, 2023
A case of fatal multi-organ inflammation following COVID-19 vaccination - PMC
"1. Introduction
2.4. Diagnosis
A diagnosis of vaccine-related multiple-organ inflammation was made based on the absence of bacterial or viral infection, lack of a past medical history suggestive of autoimmune disease, no allergic reaction, and no drug exposure other than the vaccine. Myopericarditis is a form of multiple-organ inflammation. Although pneumonia is involved, pneumonia alone is rarely a cause of sudden death, and the presence of erythrocyte-laden macrophages as well as congestive edema of the lungs on histology suggested signs of heart failure
3.1. Death after COVID-19 vaccination:
Vaccine development and its widespread application are key elements in the fight against the COVID-19 pandemic. The COVID-19 vaccine is now used worldwide and has contributed to the containment of the pandemic. However, adverse events caused by vaccines have been a problem. A forensic examination for the evaluation of the association between vaccination and death was conducted in cases of post-vaccination deaths [1], [2], [4]. The majority of these cases were negatively associated with vaccination; however, anaphylaxis, vaccine-induced immunothrombotic thrombocytopenia, myocarditis, and pericarditis have all been listed as having a suspected association with vaccination and vaccination-related death [2], [4]. Murata et al. also reported four cases of death after vaccination, in which the only autopsy findings were organ congestion with no evidence of myocarditis. RNA analysis of the blood showed that neutrophil degranulation and cytokine signaling were upregulated in the control group, which led them to conclude that the deaths were due to cytokine storm
3.2. Myocarditis and pericarditis after COVID-19 vaccination
Reports of myocarditis and pericarditis after COVID-19 vaccination have increased since the report by Albert et al. [6]. The frequency of occurrence of myocarditis and pericarditis has been reported in a US military survey including 23 cases of myocarditis/2,800,000 persons with a mean age of 25 years, all males, and no deaths [7]. A total of 40 U.S. hospitals reported 20 cases/2,000,287 with myocarditis and 37 cases/2,000,287 with pericarditis; both groups showed male predilection, mean age of onset of 36 years for myocarditis and 59 years for pericarditis, and no deaths in either group [8]. The Nordic cohort study reported that myocarditis occurred in 1,077/23,122,522 patients and pericarditis in 1,149/23,122,522 patients; both were more common in young men aged 16–24 years and most commonly occurred after the second vaccination [9]. Thus, post-vaccination myocarditis and pericarditis had incidence rates of 0.0008–0.0047% and 0.0019–0.0050%, respectively. Although usually mild, these conditions can occur; however, severe cases resulting in death are rare. As of September 2022, the number of COVID-19 vaccine recipients in Japan was approximately 103 million for the second dose and 82 million for the third dose [10]. Based on the above report, at least 800 cases of myocarditis and approximately 1,500 cases of pericarditis occurred after vaccination in Japan. Since the incidence of myocarditis and pericarditis is reported to be higher with second dose of the vaccine than with first dose [11], third dose of the vaccine are likely to further increase the frequency of occurrence of the disease.
The mechanism by which the COVID-19 vaccine causes myocarditis and pericarditis is unclear; however, several hypotheses have been proposed. The mRNA vaccine results in modifications to the nucleoside to reduce its antigenicity. In some individuals, mRNA is recognized as an antigen, resulting in the activation of the inflammatory cascades and immune pathways; in such cases, myocarditis occurs as part of a systemic inflammatory response"
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10027302/
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines are available worldwide. Since their introduction, post-vaccination deaths have been reported, and their association with the vaccine has been forensically examined [1], [2]. Post-vaccination myocarditis and pericarditis have been increasingly reported, with male adolescents reported to have a higher incidence of pericarditis with a good prognosis, while middle-aged and older patients are more likely to have severe myocarditis. In this study, we report an autopsy case of a 14-year-old girl who died unexpectedly 2 days after receiving the third dose of BNT1262b2 mRNA COVID-19 vaccine.
2.4. Diagnosis
A diagnosis of vaccine-related multiple-organ inflammation was made based on the absence of bacterial or viral infection, lack of a past medical history suggestive of autoimmune disease, no allergic reaction, and no drug exposure other than the vaccine. Myopericarditis is a form of multiple-organ inflammation. Although pneumonia is involved, pneumonia alone is rarely a cause of sudden death, and the presence of erythrocyte-laden macrophages as well as congestive edema of the lungs on histology suggested signs of heart failure
3.1. Death after COVID-19 vaccination:
Vaccine development and its widespread application are key elements in the fight against the COVID-19 pandemic. The COVID-19 vaccine is now used worldwide and has contributed to the containment of the pandemic. However, adverse events caused by vaccines have been a problem. A forensic examination for the evaluation of the association between vaccination and death was conducted in cases of post-vaccination deaths [1], [2], [4]. The majority of these cases were negatively associated with vaccination; however, anaphylaxis, vaccine-induced immunothrombotic thrombocytopenia, myocarditis, and pericarditis have all been listed as having a suspected association with vaccination and vaccination-related death [2], [4]. Murata et al. also reported four cases of death after vaccination, in which the only autopsy findings were organ congestion with no evidence of myocarditis. RNA analysis of the blood showed that neutrophil degranulation and cytokine signaling were upregulated in the control group, which led them to conclude that the deaths were due to cytokine storm
3.2. Myocarditis and pericarditis after COVID-19 vaccination
Reports of myocarditis and pericarditis after COVID-19 vaccination have increased since the report by Albert et al. [6]. The frequency of occurrence of myocarditis and pericarditis has been reported in a US military survey including 23 cases of myocarditis/2,800,000 persons with a mean age of 25 years, all males, and no deaths [7]. A total of 40 U.S. hospitals reported 20 cases/2,000,287 with myocarditis and 37 cases/2,000,287 with pericarditis; both groups showed male predilection, mean age of onset of 36 years for myocarditis and 59 years for pericarditis, and no deaths in either group [8]. The Nordic cohort study reported that myocarditis occurred in 1,077/23,122,522 patients and pericarditis in 1,149/23,122,522 patients; both were more common in young men aged 16–24 years and most commonly occurred after the second vaccination [9]. Thus, post-vaccination myocarditis and pericarditis had incidence rates of 0.0008–0.0047% and 0.0019–0.0050%, respectively. Although usually mild, these conditions can occur; however, severe cases resulting in death are rare. As of September 2022, the number of COVID-19 vaccine recipients in Japan was approximately 103 million for the second dose and 82 million for the third dose [10]. Based on the above report, at least 800 cases of myocarditis and approximately 1,500 cases of pericarditis occurred after vaccination in Japan. Since the incidence of myocarditis and pericarditis is reported to be higher with second dose of the vaccine than with first dose [11], third dose of the vaccine are likely to further increase the frequency of occurrence of the disease.
The mechanism by which the COVID-19 vaccine causes myocarditis and pericarditis is unclear; however, several hypotheses have been proposed. The mRNA vaccine results in modifications to the nucleoside to reduce its antigenicity. In some individuals, mRNA is recognized as an antigen, resulting in the activation of the inflammatory cascades and immune pathways; in such cases, myocarditis occurs as part of a systemic inflammatory response"
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10027302/
The numbers show a fairly low risk of side effects from the vaccine, with death being rare. The vaccine is not without risk, but based on what I have read, the disease is about a thousand times more likely to cause the same problems. In the risk versus benefit analysis, you are better off with the vaccine.
However, the pandemic is almost over. I don't know what will happen if people stop getting vaccinated, but given the small risk from vaccination, many people may choose not to get it.
Tuesday, April 11, 2023
Friday, April 7, 2023
Wednesday, April 5, 2023
Tuesday, April 4, 2023
Monday, April 3, 2023
Sunday, April 2, 2023
Friday, March 31, 2023
Saturday, March 25, 2023
Irrational humans
I would have thought that a deadly pandemic would have united the human race to a common cause to defeat an enemy killing so many people. However, instead of the pandemic joining us, it divided us even further.
The evidence shows that the vaccine reduces your overall chances of dying by a considerable amount. Nevertheless, I daily see attacks on the vaccine as if it were some sort of plague. People have a right to make poor choices, but the amount of misinformation is vast, which affects people's ability to make decisions.
If COVID had a smallpox death rate then I don't think there would be any argument. Everybody would be lining up for the vaccine, regardless of any potential side effects. However, a death rate of 1% (or less) is still pretty significant if you or a loved one is the one who dies.
This has caused me to reflect on why humans are so irrational. I am seeing what I think is a common factor in how people make decisions. This ties into politics. I have long noticed people are much more intense about the things that they are opposed to. I am calling this the "boogeyman factor." The thinking is that those people over there are going to do something that we don't like so we are going to fight them no matter what. People naturally focus more on adverse outcomes because fear is the most powerful motivator. On the other hand, if you are a happy person who has few worries, which is almost no one, then you might not have much need for politics.
In our current era, we have become very tribal, with no middle ground or nuance. Ask anyone, regardless of party, about politics and they will name at least one evil person that needs to be defeated. It is human nature to need an enemy that we can fight, and in recent years we will vilify just about anyone.
When it comes to the vaccine there are quite a few "boogeymen", whether that be Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Anthony Fauci, Bill Gates, "big pharma", or the government. There are a great many people who are thoroughly convinced that evil forces are trying to hurt us, by one means or another, so they are unwilling even to consider the vaccine because it comes from an evil source.
Once people make up their minds, confirmation bias becomes very strong. They will look only at evidence that supports their position while ignoring evidence to the contrary.
--
Best wishes,
John Coffey
The evidence shows that the vaccine reduces your overall chances of dying by a considerable amount. Nevertheless, I daily see attacks on the vaccine as if it were some sort of plague. People have a right to make poor choices, but the amount of misinformation is vast, which affects people's ability to make decisions.
If COVID had a smallpox death rate then I don't think there would be any argument. Everybody would be lining up for the vaccine, regardless of any potential side effects. However, a death rate of 1% (or less) is still pretty significant if you or a loved one is the one who dies.
This has caused me to reflect on why humans are so irrational. I am seeing what I think is a common factor in how people make decisions. This ties into politics. I have long noticed people are much more intense about the things that they are opposed to. I am calling this the "boogeyman factor." The thinking is that those people over there are going to do something that we don't like so we are going to fight them no matter what. People naturally focus more on adverse outcomes because fear is the most powerful motivator. On the other hand, if you are a happy person who has few worries, which is almost no one, then you might not have much need for politics.
In our current era, we have become very tribal, with no middle ground or nuance. Ask anyone, regardless of party, about politics and they will name at least one evil person that needs to be defeated. It is human nature to need an enemy that we can fight, and in recent years we will vilify just about anyone.
When it comes to the vaccine there are quite a few "boogeymen", whether that be Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Anthony Fauci, Bill Gates, "big pharma", or the government. There are a great many people who are thoroughly convinced that evil forces are trying to hurt us, by one means or another, so they are unwilling even to consider the vaccine because it comes from an evil source.
Once people make up their minds, confirmation bias becomes very strong. They will look only at evidence that supports their position while ignoring evidence to the contrary.
--
Best wishes,
John Coffey
Wednesday, March 22, 2023
Tuesday, March 21, 2023
Sunday, March 19, 2023
Saturday, March 18, 2023
Wednesday, March 15, 2023
Tuesday, March 7, 2023
COVID Numbers are down
The COVID numbers were somewhat steady for months, but have turned downward. We have gone from about 500 deaths per day, which seemed significant to me, to only about a hundred.
I was at the Columbus, Indiana hospital yesterday when they dropped their mask mandate.
Does this mean the Pandemic is over? Not for some people, but the rate of the disease doesn't seem very threatening right now.
This is not what I thought would happen. COVID is very good at both spreading and mutating, and given the number of people who aren't fully vaccinated, I thought that we would be dealing with this for many years.
I used to watch "Physics Girl" on Youtube. Her Long COVID has become so severe that it has become life-threatening. This is from an infection that she had eight months ago.
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